Showing posts with label crude oil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label crude oil. Show all posts

Technical Analysis says crude oil still buoyant

The success of U.S. Brent crude oil and crude oil in the severance of its over 200 days moving averages for the first time since September 2008 has led to speculation that we are moving towards a goal of $ 75 - $ 80 per barrel.
Surely there is room for change at these levels, given the magnitude of the decrease of $ 147 to $ 32 in the last 9 months, and given the weak U.S. dollar. Up yesterday in the securities markets in the better than expected consumer confidence has seen the price of oil set new 6 months ago.
The minimum Fibonacci retracement of 38.2% to $ 76.28 is certainly within reach, although it will be interesting to see if stock markets are able to track the movement of this magnitude. It is very likely that geopolitical developments currently taking place in Asia is also based on oil prices in the short term.
Indeed, King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia seems to think that $ 75 per barrel is a reasonable value and cuts in OPEC production in September appears to have done the trick for the moment in that underpin oil prices, and increasing demand for China, as it seeks to increase its stock batteries.
The price has dropped slightly from its maximum of $ 63.45 this morning on the back for taking some profits. Any movement and close below $ 60 will probably gain the benefits of taking back to $ 55 throughout the area.
Thursday at a meeting of OPEC in Vienna, in all likelihood, not see any change in production quotas in order while the U.S. dollar remains weak expect to see oil prices remain well supported.


[Source]

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StatoilHydro opens new HQ

NORWEGIAN oil giant StatoilHydro has opened a new office and its Asia-Pacific headquarters in Singapore on Monday.
Its latest move reflects the importance of Asia for growth companies, said its Executive Vice President Jon Arnt Jacobsen.
Statoil is the third largest in the world crude oil and the vendor wants to grow its Global Footprint, especially in the third trading company.
"Our Singapore office is a milestone in the global business strategy ... and the constant presence in local markets, provide us with their hands on the information market," said Jacobsen.
The company, which had a local presence for 18 years, moved to its new 11,000 sq m of premises in Ngee Ann City in which 38 workers on Monday.
Increase the number of employees in the near future, as Singapore is used as a base for operations in Asia, said the president of Statoil Asia Pacific, Ms. Marthe Hoff.
Asia is increasingly 'natural home' for StatoilHydro in production of crude oil as an international production and market growth in Asia is growing, said Hoff.
Statoil is currently manufacture two million barrels of oil a day, of which a maximum of 150,000 barrels is exported to Asia.
The company hopes to increase this number, particularly in the trade of crude oil, gasoline and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), added Ms. Hoff.
"We believe that the markets in the region will continue to grow faster than any other part of the world, despite the current economic slowdown."
[Source]

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Royal Dutch Shell profit drops 62%

LONDON (MarketWatch) - Royal Dutch Shell said on Wednesday its first quarter profit slumped 62% as crude oil is the latest major company to disclose how far the bottom line is weakened because of the slump in energy prices.
Shell profit fell to 3.49 billion U.S. dollars from 9.08 billion dollars.
Stripping out 337 million dollars in one-time gains, as well as price changes on unsold inventories, Shell and earnings would be 2.96 billion dollars, compared with analyst estimates of 2.55 billion dollars. Analysts at Macquarie Securities, said earnings beat may come through the shell traders using crude contango in the market at the beginning of this year. Contango near term if the price of futures contract is worth less than oil for delivery in just a few months.

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Crude Above $50/Bbl On Equities,Stockpiles Eyed

LONDON (Dow Jones) - Crude oil futures tracked firmer equity markets to trade back above 50 U.S. dollars per barrel Wednesday, despite expectations that the U.S. will reveal later in the stocks of oil continues to rise.
Concerns about the potential impact of swine influenza on the economy and the implications for oil demand also helped to drag down growth.
Trading volumes were thin as market participants decided to wait for the 1430 GMT release inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, which would highlight the weak demand for oil caused the U.S. oil inventories to balloon to nearly 19-year level. Traders were left by the careful separate American Petroleum Institute data revealing Tuesday crude stocks rose almost 5 million barrels last week.
"Despite the continuous stream of bearish news and information, oil markets remain surprisingly resilient," said David Hart, oil and gas analyst at Hanson Westhouse in London. "If there is a large building above the expectations of the U.S. government inventory data later today will be the resiliency further research.
In 1135 GMT, the front month June Brent contract on London ICE futures exchange was 77 cents to 50.76 U.S. dollars per barrel.
The front month June light, sweet, crude contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange was trading 92 cents higher at 50.84 U.S. dollars per barrel.
ICE in fuel oil supply contract in May was $ 9.00 per $ 428.75 per metric ton, while Nymex gasoline for May delivery was at 226 points of 142.03 cents a gallon.
According to Dow Jones Newswires survey of 12 analysts of U.S. stocks of crude oil will have risen between 1 million barrels and 3.5 million barrels last week. The outlook for stocks of gasoline is more diverse, a decrease of 200,000 barrels on average seen. Distillates are seen higher refinery 700,000 barrels in use is seen rising 0.1 percentage points to 83.5% of capacity.

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Peak oil: The four stages of a new idea

The present paper reviews the reactions and the path of acceptance of the theory known as “peak oil”. The theory was proposed for the first time by M.K. Hubbert in the 1950s as a way to describe the production pattern of crude oil. According to Hubbert, the production curve is “bell shaped” and approximately symmetric. Hubbert's theory was verified with good approximation for the case of oil production in the United States that peaked in 1971, and is now being applied to the worldwide oil production. It is generally believed that the global peak of oil production (“peak oil”) will take place during the first decade of the 21st century, and some analysts believe that it has already occurred in 2005 or 2006. The theory and its consequences have unpleasant social and economical implications. The present paper is not aimed at assessing the peak date but offers a discussion on the factors that affect the acceptance and the diffusion of the concept of “peak oil” with experts and with the general public. The discussion is based on a subdivision of “four stages of acceptance”, loosely patterned after a sentence by Thomas Huxley.[Source]

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Understanding Crude Oil Prices

This paper examines the factors responsible for changes in crude oil prices. The paper reviews the statistical behavior of oil prices, relates this to the predictions of theory, and looks in detail at key features of petroleum demand and supply...Our overall conclusion is that the low price-elasticity of short-run demand and supply, the vulnerability of supplies to disruptions, and the peak in U.S. oil production account for the broad behavior of oil prices over 1970-1997. Although the traditional economic theory of exhaustible resources does not fit in an obvious way into this historical account, the profound change in demand coming from the newly industrialized countries and recognition of the finiteness of this resource offers a plausible explanation for more recent developments. In other words, the scarcity rent may have been negligible for previous generations but may now be becoming relevant...The $140/barrel price in the summer of 2008 and the $60/barrel in November of 2008 could not both be consistent with the same calculation of a scarcity rent warranted by long-term fundamentals. Notwithstanding, the algebra of compound growth suggests that if demand growth resumes in China and other countries at its previous rate, the date at which the scarcity rent will start to make an important contribution to the price, if not here already, cannot be far away.[Source]

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Energy Stocks: The Economic Recovery May Be Slow

But many investors continue to hold the energy stocks . After a steep decline in energy shares and the price of crude oil and other commodities, last year, many still hope for a revival of crude oil and other large energy companies, in the second half of this year. So far this year in part IV, 9, S & P Energy index fell by 6.3% and 5.2% decline in S & P 500 index. However, in some energy groups, such as oil and gas drilling and energy equipment and services a year.The main dispute between the bulls and bears power: state of the world economy, and whether recovery is soon or later. In the global economy will have a direct impact on the demand for crude oil and other energy sources.
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United States crude oil drop again

United States crude fell by 3.21 dollars, or about 6 percent, to $ 49.03 per barrel yesterday, while Brent crude shed $ 3.00 to $ 51.06. It was after the International Energy Agency (IEA) had drastically reduced its forecast for oil demand, offsetting the impact of earlier data showing Chinese imports of oil rose to the second highest in historyDue to the Passover feast, yesterday was the first day of trading Thursday in almost 6 percent profit on the oil market, propelled by a rally on Wall Street.But it is not all bad news as hopes rose Nigeria is to export crude oil, and Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC) yesterday put out a fire in its pipeline Bomu Manifold Ogoniland rivers in the state.
It was part of the oil company's efforts to restart the oil, it is estimated that the output of 120,000 barrels per day (BPD), which had been closed due to accident.
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